skip to main content
10.1145/2020408.2020581acmconferencesArticle/Chapter ViewAbstractPublication PageskddConference Proceedingsconference-collections
poster

Human mobility, social ties, and link prediction

Published:21 August 2011Publication History

ABSTRACT

Our understanding of how individual mobility patterns shape and impact the social network is limited, but is essential for a deeper understanding of network dynamics and evolution. This question is largely unexplored, partly due to the difficulty in obtaining large-scale society-wide data that simultaneously capture the dynamical information on individual movements and social interactions. Here we address this challenge for the first time by tracking the trajectories and communication records of 6 Million mobile phone users. We find that the similarity between two individuals' movements strongly correlates with their proximity in the social network. We further investigate how the predictive power hidden in such correlations can be exploited to address a challenging problem: which new links will develop in a social network. We show that mobility measures alone yield surprising predictive power, comparable to traditional network-based measures. Furthermore, the prediction accuracy can be significantly improved by learning a supervised classifier based on combined mobility and network measures. We believe our findings on the interplay of mobility patterns and social ties offer new perspectives on not only link prediction but also network dynamics.

References

  1. L. Adamic and E. Adar. Friends and neighbors on the web. Social Networks, 25(3):211--230, 2003.Google ScholarGoogle ScholarCross RefCross Ref
  2. M. Al Hasan, V. Chaoji, S. Salem, and M. Zaki. Link prediction using supervised learning. In SDM: Workshop on Link Analysis, Counter-terrorism and Security, 2006.Google ScholarGoogle Scholar
  3. L. Backstrom, E. Sun, and C. Marlow. Find me if you can: improving geographical prediction with social and spatial proximity. In WWW, pages 61--70, 2010. Google ScholarGoogle ScholarDigital LibraryDigital Library
  4. D. Brockmann, L. Hufnagel, and T. Geisel. The scaling laws of human travel. Nature, 439(7075):462--465, 2006.Google ScholarGoogle ScholarCross RefCross Ref
  5. G. Caldarelli. Scale-free networks: complex webs in nature and technology. Oxford University Press, 2007.Google ScholarGoogle Scholar
  6. D. A. Cieslak and N. V. Chawla. Learning decision trees for unbalanced data. In ECML/PKDD, pages 241--256, 2008. Google ScholarGoogle ScholarDigital LibraryDigital Library
  7. D. Crandall, L. Backstrom, D. Cosley, S. Suri, D. Huttenlocher, and J. Kleinberg. Inferring social ties from geographic coincidences. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 107(52):22436, 2010.Google ScholarGoogle ScholarCross RefCross Ref
  8. J. Cranshaw, E. Toch, J. Hong, A. Kittur, and N. Sadeh. Bridging the gap between physical location and online social networks. In Ubicomp, pages 119--128, New York, NY, USA, 2010. ACM. Google ScholarGoogle ScholarDigital LibraryDigital Library
  9. N. Eagle and A. Pentland. Eigenbehaviors: Identifying structure in routine. Behavioral Ecology and Sociobiology, 63(7):1057--1066, 2009.Google ScholarGoogle ScholarCross RefCross Ref
  10. N. Eagle, A. Pentland, and D. Lazer. Inferring friendship network structure by using mobile phone data. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 106(36):15274, 2009.Google ScholarGoogle ScholarCross RefCross Ref
  11. D. Easley and J. Kleinberg. Networks, crowds, and markets: Reasoning about a highly connected world. Cambridge University Press, 2010. Google ScholarGoogle ScholarDigital LibraryDigital Library
  12. F. Giannotti, M. Nanni, and D. Pedreschi. Efficient mining of temporally annotated sequences. In SDM, 2006.Google ScholarGoogle ScholarCross RefCross Ref
  13. F. Giannotti, M. Nanni, F. Pinelli, and D. Pedreschi. Trajectory pattern mining. In KDD, pages 330--339, 2007. Google ScholarGoogle ScholarDigital LibraryDigital Library
  14. M. González, C. Hidalgo, and A.-L. Barabási. Understanding individual human mobility patterns. Nature, 453(7196):779--782, 2008.Google ScholarGoogle ScholarCross RefCross Ref
  15. Z. Huang, X. Li, and H. Chen. Link prediction approach to collaborative filtering. In JCDL, pages 141--142. ACM, 2005. Google ScholarGoogle ScholarDigital LibraryDigital Library
  16. H. Jeung, Q. Liu, H. T. Shen, and X. Zhou. A hybrid prediction model for moving objects. In ICDE, pages 70--79, 2008. Google ScholarGoogle ScholarDigital LibraryDigital Library
  17. L. Katz. A new status index derived from sociometric analysis. Psychometrika, 18(1):39--43, 1953.Google ScholarGoogle ScholarCross RefCross Ref
  18. G. Krings, F. Calabrese, C. Ratti, and V. Blondel. Urban gravity: a model for inter-city telecommunication flows. J. Stat. Mech.-Theor. Exp., page L07003, 2009.Google ScholarGoogle Scholar
  19. R. Lambiotte, V. Blondel, C. De Kerchove, E. Huens, C. Prieur, Z. Smoreda, and P. Van Dooren. Geographical dispersal of mobile communication networks. Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, 387(21):5317--5325, 2008.Google ScholarGoogle ScholarCross RefCross Ref
  20. J. Leskovec, L. Backstrom, R. Kumar, and A. Tomkins. Microscopic evolution of social networks. In KDD, pages 462--470, 2008. Google ScholarGoogle ScholarDigital LibraryDigital Library
  21. D. Liben-Nowell and J. M. Kleinberg. The link prediction problem for social networks. In CIKM, pages 556--559, 2003. Google ScholarGoogle ScholarDigital LibraryDigital Library
  22. D. Liben-Nowell, J. Novak, R. Kumar, P. Raghavan, and A. Tomkins. Geographic routing in social networks. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 102(33):11623, 2005.Google ScholarGoogle ScholarCross RefCross Ref
  23. R. Lichtenwalter, J. T. Lussier, and N. V. Chawla. New perspectives and methods in link prediction. In KDD, pages 243--252, 2010. Google ScholarGoogle ScholarDigital LibraryDigital Library
  24. A. Monreale, F. Pinelli, R. Trasarti, and F. Giannotti. Wherenext: a location predictor on trajectory pattern mining. In KDD, pages 637--646, 2009. Google ScholarGoogle ScholarDigital LibraryDigital Library
  25. M. Morzy. Prediction of moving object location based on frequent trajectories. In ISCIS, pages 583--592, 2006. Google ScholarGoogle ScholarDigital LibraryDigital Library
  26. M. Morzy. Mining frequent trajectories of moving objects for location prediction. In MLDM, pages 667--680, 2007. Google ScholarGoogle ScholarDigital LibraryDigital Library
  27. J. P. Onnela, J. Saramaki, J. Hyvonen, G. Szabo, D. Lazer, K. Kaski, J. Kertesz, and A.-L. Barabasi. Structure and tie strengths in mobile communication networks. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 104(18):7332--7336, 2007.Google ScholarGoogle ScholarCross RefCross Ref
  28. M. Rivera, S. Soderstrom, and B. Uzzi. Dynamics of Dyads in Social Networks: Assortative, Relational, and Proximity Mechanisms. Annual Review of Sociology, 36:91--115, 2010.Google ScholarGoogle ScholarCross RefCross Ref
  29. C. Song, T. Koren, P. Wang, and A.-L. Barabási. Modelling the scaling properties of human mobility. Nature Physics, 2010.Google ScholarGoogle ScholarCross RefCross Ref
  30. C. Song, Z. Qu, N. Blumm, and A.-L. Barabasi. Limits of predictability in human mobility. Science, 327(5968):1018, 2010.Google ScholarGoogle ScholarCross RefCross Ref
  31. C. Wang, V. Satuluri, and S. Parthasarathy. Local probabilistic models for link prediction. In ICDM, pages 322--331, 2007. Google ScholarGoogle ScholarDigital LibraryDigital Library
  32. G. Yavas, D. Katsaros, Ö. Ulusoy, and Y. Manolopoulos. A data mining approach for location prediction in mobile environments. Data Knowl. Eng., 54(2):121--146, 2005. Google ScholarGoogle ScholarDigital LibraryDigital Library

Index Terms

  1. Human mobility, social ties, and link prediction

    Recommendations

    Comments

    Login options

    Check if you have access through your login credentials or your institution to get full access on this article.

    Sign in
    • Published in

      cover image ACM Conferences
      KDD '11: Proceedings of the 17th ACM SIGKDD international conference on Knowledge discovery and data mining
      August 2011
      1446 pages
      ISBN:9781450308137
      DOI:10.1145/2020408

      Copyright © 2011 ACM

      Permission to make digital or hard copies of all or part of this work for personal or classroom use is granted without fee provided that copies are not made or distributed for profit or commercial advantage and that copies bear this notice and the full citation on the first page. Copyrights for components of this work owned by others than ACM must be honored. Abstracting with credit is permitted. To copy otherwise, or republish, to post on servers or to redistribute to lists, requires prior specific permission and/or a fee. Request permissions from [email protected]

      Publisher

      Association for Computing Machinery

      New York, NY, United States

      Publication History

      • Published: 21 August 2011

      Permissions

      Request permissions about this article.

      Request Permissions

      Check for updates

      Qualifiers

      • poster

      Acceptance Rates

      Overall Acceptance Rate1,133of8,635submissions,13%

      Upcoming Conference

      KDD '24

    PDF Format

    View or Download as a PDF file.

    PDF

    eReader

    View online with eReader.

    eReader