Future urban climate projection in a tropical megacity based on global climate change and local urbanization scenarios

We introduce a general method for modeling the effects of climate change and urbanization that can be applied to any city and apply the model to Greater Jakarta megacity

Nisrina Setyo Darmanto; Alvin Christopher Galang Varquez; Natsumi Kawano; Manabu Kanda

2019

Key concepts

Scholarcy highlights

  • The effects of urbanization on the future atmospheric environments of cities worldwide remain uncertain in the context of climate change
  • We introduce a general method for modeling the effects of climate change and urbanization that can be applied to any city and apply the model to Greater Jakarta megacity
  • The highest temperature increase caused by RCP8.5&BaU scenario was detected in the northwestern outskirts of Jakarta
  • The projected temperature was one-third lower in the RCP2.6&Compact scenario
  • This study offers a general method for projecting future urban climates, for Jakarta and for other megacities in developing countries

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